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CARSMULTIVERSEWatch a recall

The law does not leave the timing of a recall letter to the manufacturer. 49 CFR 577.7 requires the owner notification to be furnished no later than sixty days from the date the manufacturer files its defect or noncompliance information report. Both of those dates are columns in the regulator’s own bulk file, and have been for fifteen years.

Nobody subtracts one from the other and holds the answer against the sixty days in the regulation. The regulator publishes the two columns and does not draw the line. This page draws it.

What the record shows

Of the 14,853 campaigns whose record carries both dates and agrees with itself, 2,726 (18.4 per cent) show owners notified more than 60 days after the report was filed. Across those, the median overrun is 51 days beyond the deadline.

The median gap across every campaign is 39 days and the ninetieth percentile is 103 days, so this is not a story about a broken system. It is a story about a minority that is measurable, nameable and has never been named.

What this does not say

It does not say anyone broke the law, and no honest reading of this file could. Three reasons, all of them in the regulation itself:

What the arithmetic does support is the sentence used throughout this page: the regulator’s own record shows owners notified more than 60 days after the report was filed. Every figure below can be checked against the same file, which is the only standard this site accepts.

By manufacturer

Manufacturers with at least 15 usable campaigns, ranked by the share of their campaigns on the far side of the 60-day line. A maker with three recalls and one late letter is not a maker that is late a third of the time, so small filers are left out rather than made to look dramatic.

Filed by Campaigns Over 60 days Share Median gap Longest
Daimler Vans USA 126 69 55% 63 days 681 days (21V153)
CHRYSLER GROUP 109 56 51% 61 days 552 days (13V527)
Aston Martin The Americas 17 8 47% 60 days 111 days (24V712)
BENDIX COMMERCIAL VEHICLE SYSTEMS 15 7 47% 58 days 99 days (22E033)
Supreme 22 10 45% 59 days 122 days (25V692)
PORSCHE CARS NORTH AMERICA 119 49 41% 58 days 561 days (23V241)
DAIMLER TRUCKS NORTH AMERICA 484 193 40% 58 days 779 days (13V099)
Rosenbauer America 18 7 39% 51 days 439 days (21V562)
Nova Bus (US) 52 20 38% 56 days 302 days (25V213)
VAN HOOL N.V 22 8 36% 52 days 261 days (15V743)
HME 17 6 35% 41 days 220 days (21V791)
DAIMLER BUSES NORTH AMERICA 15 5 33% 37 days 396 days (10V538)
MERCEDES-BENZ USA 385 123 32% 49 days 1,075 days (11V493)
PREVOST CARS 63 20 32% 49 days 276 days (17E068)
HINO MOTORS SALES U.S.A 37 12 32% 57 days 314 days (11V320)
Prevost Car (US) 38 12 32% 50 days 290 days (24V523)
WABASH NATIONAL 22 7 32% 47 days 218 days (14V726)
PACCAR 182 56 31% 50 days 720 days (18V368)
COLLINS BUS 29 9 31% 34 days 154 days (10V362)
Arcimoto 30 9 30% 57 days 98 days (19V728)
Toyota Motor Engineering & Manufacturing 236 69 29% 55 days 487 days (14V604)
FERRARI NORTH AMERICA 28 8 29% 53 days 525 days (16V341)
SPARTAN CHASSIS 21 6 29% 49 days 117 days (10V052)
BMW OF NORTH AMERICA 378 106 28% 57 days 989 days (16V747)
FORD MOTOR 752 205 27% 41 days 889 days (11V445)
NAVISTAR 260 68 26% 49 days 378 days (10V258)
Hyundai Motor America 199 52 26% 55 days 298 days (20V705)
VOLVO TRUCKS NORTH AMERICA 114 30 26% 43 days 204 days (12V510)
AUTOCAR 98 25 26% 57 days 684 days (24V261)
GULF STATES TOYOTA 19 5 26% 53 days 162 days (11V588)
Volvo Bus 24 6 25% 51 days 716 days (21V717)
Kalmar Solutions 16 4 25% 35 days 84 days (23V029)
Volkswagen Group of America 318 77 24% 42 days 599 days (20V056)
Suzuki Motor of America 34 8 24% 29 days 911 days (19V343)
JAGUAR LAND ROVER NORTH AMERICA 189 44 23% 49 days 382 days (25V017)
WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES 124 29 23% 42 days 563 days (24V733)
Hyundai Motor 30 7 23% 45 days 262 days (11V472)
GENERAL MOTORS 510 111 22% 35 days 1,287 days (17V567)
MITSUBISHI FUSO TRUCK OF AMERICA 27 6 22% 53 days 392 days (20V645)
MOTOR COACH INDUSTRIES 63 13 21% 41 days 858 days (19V027)

101 further manufacturers clear the minimum and sit below these. Each has its own page under the notification-lag index.

The date the notice promised, against the date in the record

Separately from the deadline, a great many notices name a date of their own. The remedy text says owners are expected to be notified on a stated day. That promise is free text, buried in a paragraph; the notification date is a column. Nothing joins them, because nothing reads the free text.

We read it, and the first thing the reading finds is that most of the promise is not a promise. 4,241 notices say owners are expected to be notified. 3,694 of them never say when: the sentence is written in the future tense and names no day, which is a commitment nobody can ever be held to.

That leaves 547 notices that named an actual date. Against the notification date in the register:

The longest of the missed promises:

The campaigns with no notification date at all

372 campaigns carry a report date and no owner notification date. Every calculation of lag, ours included, has to drop them: you cannot subtract a blank. Dropping them is correct arithmetic and incomplete journalism, because a campaign with no notification date is not a rounding error. It is a recall with no record that anyone was told.

They are excluded from every figure above and counted here instead. The blank may be a filing gap rather than a postal one, but the register is what the public, the press and every downstream tool reads, and in the register these recalls were never announced to anybody.

The longest gaps on record

Report filed, then owners notified. Every one of these is a single campaign.

Campaign Filed by Report filed Owners notified Days
17V567 GENERAL MOTORS 14 September 2017 24 March 2021 1,287
17V348 PIERCE MANUFACTURING 30 May 2017 3 June 2020 1,100
11V493 MERCEDES-BENZ USA 3 October 2011 12 September 2014 1,075
22V420 NISSAN NORTH AMERICA 13 June 2022 26 March 2025 1,017
16V747 BMW OF NORTH AMERICA 17 October 2016 3 July 2019 989
19V343 Suzuki Motor of America 2 May 2019 29 October 2021 911
11V445 FORD MOTOR 26 August 2011 31 January 2014 889
19V027 MOTOR COACH INDUSTRIES 7 January 2019 14 May 2021 858
15V188 BMW OF NORTH AMERICA 31 March 2015 27 July 2017 849
17V119 GILLIG 24 February 2017 7 June 2019 833
10T001 YOKOHAMA TIRE 21 January 2010 27 April 2012 827
11C002 DOREL JUVENILE GROUP 24 June 2011 26 September 2013 825
18C001 Harmony Juvenile Products 17 April 2018 3 July 2020 808
16V363 MERCEDES-BENZ USA 26 May 2016 31 July 2018 796
13V099 DAIMLER TRUCKS NORTH AMERICA 18 March 2013 6 May 2015 779

How this page is built, and what it leaves out

One pass over NHTSA’s bulk recall file. Field 15 is the date the defect report was received, field 12 the date owners were notified, and the file carries one row per affected model, so the first row of each campaign is used and the rest skipped. Every exclusion is counted rather than quietly dropped:

The same exclusions are applied by the notification-lag page, deliberately, so the two can never disagree about the same campaign. How we work sets out the whole method and the corrections page lists anything we have got wrong.

How long before they tell you · What failed, and what happened next · What changed after publication · Check your car

Sixty days later, still no letter — the same sixty days, counted forward instead of back: 175 notices filed in the last three years where the deadline has passed and the record still carries no date for the letter, listed by manufacturer.

A project by A.I.T. Multiverse Consulting Ltd · cars@aitmultiverse.com